Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.001957 0.002076 0.002199 0.002336 0.002484 0.002640 0.002817
2025-05-11 0.001825 0.001997 0.002183 0.002400 0.002645 0.002916 0.003239
2025-05-18 0.001705 0.001911 0.002139 0.002414 0.002737 0.003108 0.003569
2025-05-25 0.001580 0.001803 0.002057 0.002370 0.002749 0.003198 0.003776
2025-06-01 0.001488 0.001725 0.002000 0.002347 0.002777 0.003301 0.003997
2025-06-08 0.001431 0.001682 0.001979 0.002362 0.002849 0.003457 0.004288
2025-06-15 0.001363 0.001621 0.001932 0.002339 0.002868 0.003544 0.004492
2025-06-22 0.001307 0.001571 0.001894 0.002325 0.002895 0.003638 0.004708
2025-06-29 0.001254 0.001521 0.001853 0.002302 0.002907 0.003712 0.004897
2025-07-06 0.001201 0.001470 0.001807 0.002271 0.002904 0.003762 0.005053
2025-07-13 0.001139 0.001404 0.001740 0.002207 0.002853 0.003742 0.005104
2025-07-20 0.001113 0.001384 0.001731 0.002219 0.002906 0.003869 0.005378
2025-07-27 0.001095 0.001375 0.001740 0.002262 0.003011 0.004085 0.005819
2025-08-03 0.001085 0.001378 0.001764 0.002326 0.003150 0.004363 0.006380
2025-08-10 0.001058 0.001356 0.001754 0.002341 0.003218 0.004535 0.006788
2025-08-17 0.001015 0.001309 0.001706 0.002299 0.003197 0.004570 0.006968
2025-08-24 0.000980 0.001273 0.001673 0.002277 0.003204 0.004647 0.007226
2025-08-31 0.000960 0.001257 0.001665 0.002292 0.003269 0.004820 0.007665
2025-09-07 0.000930 0.001225 0.001635 0.002270 0.003274 0.004894 0.007932
2025-09-14 0.000904 0.001198 0.001610 0.002256 0.003291 0.004988 0.008243
2025-09-21 0.000877 0.001169 0.001582 0.002234 0.003293 0.005057 0.008510
2025-09-28 0.000849 0.001138 0.001549 0.002204 0.003279 0.005096 0.008722
2025-10-05 0.000814 0.001095 0.001497 0.002142 0.003210 0.005034 0.008729